Masters betting form guide

In each of Thomas's last four Masters starts, he's shot a round of 68 or lower. The only other player who can make the same claim is Jon Rahm, whose struggles around the green are a major concern for all that his price has started to shift in the right direction.

Ultimately, Thomas just hasn't putted well enough here, and there is enormous potential for him to do something very special if and when he's able to figure the greens out. To that end, there are two sources of encouragement, although there's no denying a dose of blind hope is also required. The first sign that he might just do it is that Thomas, a confidence player, has started to putt much better lately. Exiting the Phoenix Open, where he hit the ball well enough to win, he ranked th on the PGA Tour in strokes-gained putting.

Just a handful of starts later and he's climbed inside the top , his efforts at the Valspar and Riviera more than sufficient were he to marry them with his best long-game. And then there's Bones. Jim MacKay, Thomas's new, full-time caddie since the beginning of the year, better known as Bones, has Augusta experience in spades. He won this three times with Phil Mickelson, and he could have a significant influence here.

When Scott won the Masters, remember the play-off putt, when caddie Steve Williams stepped in and told him exactly where he needed to start it? With Tiger's ex-caddie now retired, it's Mickelson's who boasts more potential than anyone to have a material effect on the outcome of the tournament. Even if that is a dramatic assessment, if it overestimates just what a caddie can do, I believe that Thomas believes he has an ace tucked up his sleeve, and that in itself is worth something.

He might in fact have two: Thomas was at Augusta practicing with Woods last week, and I feel sure that if Tiger deep down knows he can't win this, there's one man he'd like to. He will have done his best to help his protege prepare, and should Thomas find himself in the mix, he can expect some words of advice heading into Sunday.

On Woods, it's telling that when his mentor was making history here in , Thomas remained willing to make a bold claim — that he had in fact played well enough to have won the tournament. He felt similarly in and , too, ranking sixth, second, third and sixth in greens hit during this sequence of what-might-have-beens, but to say so as Woods was doing what he did reveals plenty about his own faith in what lies ahead for him in the Masters.

Finally, he is playing really well. Only twice this season has he missed the top 20, first when on the wrong side of a significant draw bias when defending a title nobody before has successfully defended, then when knocked out of the Match Play in a group which contained the eventual runner-up. In stroke play events which didn't heavily favour one side of the draw, he's on a run of five tops in six, and he hasn't missed a cut since last May.

His approach play is firing, ranking second twice in four starts, he's driving the ball well, and he remains dynamite around the greens, which all adds up to second in strokes-gained tee-to-green. There are clear doubts over Spieth's putting, Rahm's short-game, Rory McIlroy's approach play, and whether some of the younger stars at the front of this market have enough experience.

Perhaps Scottie Scheffler, who has Masters-winning Ted Scott by his side, can overcome it, or else the behemoth Morikawa. But here at Augusta, it is probably wise to place extra emphasis on knowhow when separating those at the head of the betting, and of all the world-class players who have it, nobody is primed in quite the way that Thomas is.

As Thomas himself is all too aware, an ideal profile and a near-perfect preparation guarantees you nothing once play begins. But with Bones on the bag, and with six years' worth of lessons learned, this is a fine opportunity for him to put the pieces of the puzzle together. These now should be his golden years at Augusta.

Apprenticeship served, he can depart the one-time major winners' club and earn the sport's most coveted prize. Dangers are of course manifold. None of those youngsters is dismissed, not even Viktor Hovland and his chipping inadequacies. Cameron Smith to my eye looks a good 10 points shorter than he ought to be, but his chance is blindingly obvious: twice a winner this year, a habitual Masters contender, of a mind which suggests a major opportunity could well be taken, and with hands as magic as Spieth's once the longer shots have been hit.

But with Patrick Cantlay's preparation less than ideal, and Xander Schauffele having more demons to lay to rest, it's Morikawa and Brooks Koepka who demand the most respect, and the latter was very close to being selected. We know by now that Koepka's been a monster at the highest level since winning his first US Open in , a title he defended while also collecting back-to-back US PGA Championships during a sensational run.

It's one I'd have gladly labelled unsustainable but while that has unsurprisingly proven to be the case, he's been mighty close: six top-sevens in eight majors since he last won one confirm that those opposing him have been made to sweat. The last time Koepka arrived here fit, he finished a gallant runner-up to Woods, paying a heavy price for coming up short with his approach to the 12th hole but responding well to keep Tiger honest.

That was the culmination of a progressive initiation period, finishing 33rd on debut, 21st in a really tough edition and 11th behind Garcia in Forced to miss the renewal through injury, he was then denied only by Woods' fifth Masters win. Ahead of the renewal when he went on to finish seventh, the only player ahead of Thomas in strokes-gained tee-to-green here over the previous three years was Koepka, and we can put a line through last year's missed cut.

Koepka said he "wouldn't have been playing for another month if it wasn't this week" as he grimaced his way through 36 holes before another five weeks off, a rehabilitation period which helped him get ready for what would be a frustrating second place behind another legend of the sport, this time Mickelson at Kiawah Island.

He's the one if you'd like two from the top of the betting but I'm very sweet on Thomas and am happy to take just one of that top dozen, each of whom has something to recommend him. For my money, Thomas is the one they all have to beat. Sam Burns is the pick of the debutants as he seeks to become the first to win here since Fuzzy Zoeller in Anyone watching PGA Tour golf regularly will know that his awkward technique from close range is really not pleasant to watch, although he has so far missed only 10 of attempts from inside five feet this season and the stats aren't quite as terrifying as the television can be, as he's not missed anything from three feet and in.

What they do tell us, though, is that you have to go back to early October for the last time he beat the field in strokes-gained putting. However, having trawled through Match Play shot data, it's clear he was very good in Texas, and not just from distance. Zalatoris did miss a couple of short ones in defeat to Sepp Straka, but either side of it was excellent, particularly when taking down Hovland to win a tough group. In the end he would go on to lose to Kevin Kisner, who has won more matches at Austin than anybody, in a display of real substance.

None of this is to say his demons have been exorcised; likely he will suffer the odd blip. But the current PGA Tour leader in strokes-gained tee-to-green did putt well here last year and did putt well last time, and there is really only one other negative: the fact he is yet to win at this level.

To make your breakthrough in a major would be extraordinary, but not unprecedented, and Zalatoris has another year of experience behind him since finishing second to Matsuyama. He's felt what it's like to have a putt to win, too, missing from inside 10 feet at Torrey Pines. Ultimately I found myself thinking I'd be mad keen on him had he won there, so to dismiss him because Luke List made a few more than usual seems a little unreasonable.

Long off the tee and a sensational iron player in the Morikawa and Thomas bracket, Zalatoris has an ideal game for Augusta. And while experience is important, Spieth won here a year after finishing runner-up on debut. It's possible we're talking about another exceptional player with a similarly bright future, and thanks to the strength at the front of the market we're able to take a good each-way price. Lowry poised for major improvement In recent weeks I have massively warmed to the chances of SHANE LOWRY, despite a modest record here, and it seems I'm not alone as the Irishman has been supported since bookmakers revealed their enhanced place terms.

Well, supported or cut, which aren't always one and the same. Unless you play on the exchanges or back injured golfers, you're unlikely to get generous win prices. Shane Lowry can make an impression in a major once again Lowry's course form will worry some as he has had six tries at Augusta, just like Thomas, but only in April did he match the American's finish.

Before that share of 21st he'd gone MCMC-MC, latterly enjoying the company of Woods during the November edition, and only when sitting second after round one in had he really been involved at the business end of the leaderboard. Augusta National Golf Club - Home of the Masters Golf trends bettors can at least rely on the fact the Masters is the only golf major which is held at the same course year on year so apart from how the greens, fairways and rough areas are prepared each year we can at least correlate the previous winners stats and draw comparisons for potential Masters betting picks.

Jordan Spieth's Masters defence in was on course until coming a cropper when approaching Amen Corner on the final day, first bogeying the 11th and then a quadruple bogey at the 12th sealed his fate: For a detailed layout of the course setup at Augusta, head over to the official Masters website. Masters History Golfing legend Jack Nicklaus holds the Masters record for most wins which currently stands at six and spanning 23 years, winning his first in and the last in Jack's final Masters win in set a record for the oldest Masters winner at the age of 46 years and 2 months.

Tiger Woods' victory in was his 5th Masters win and first for fourteen years, his first four were obtained within an eight year period to Tiger's maiden Masters win in set the record for the youngest Masters winner at the age of 21 years and 3 months. There have been 17 multiple Masters winners, another golfing legend Arnold Palmer with four victories sits in 3rd behind Nicklaus and Woods.

Biggest Winning Margin When Tiger set the best Masters winning score of strokes in he also recorded the widest winning margin of 12 strokes with Tom Kite back in 2nd on Six is the average number of attempts for maiden Masters winners.

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He has high finishes of T2, third, and T5 at Augusta. The Aussie is a nice bet to make the cut for your lineup. Day has proved that his recent form is enough to trust him this week. He had a solid T7 finish at a difficult test of golf at the Houston Open last week. His short game and putting are beginning to heat up like the old Jason Day.

In four appearances, Smith has three tops and is coming off of a T4 at a stacked Zozo Championship field. Over the past 36 rounds, he ranks 12th in the field in opportunities gained, 1oth in Par 5 scoring, and 22nd in strokes gained: approach. Smith finished T5 at Augusta in Winning the green jacket is enough to immortalize a player amongst the legends of the game.

With Tiger Woods looking more and more likely to tee it up, the eyes of the entire world will be on Augusta National this week. The top players and ties make the cut after holes. The strength of the field is determined by the number of top ranked players in attendance, and the Masters has the smallest field of all the majors. Six amateurs are invited based on results in five amateur events from the previous year, and all former Masters champions have a lifetime exemption.

The rest of the field qualified by one of the following: top in OWGR , top in FedEx Cup standings last season, a major championship win in the last five years, Players win in the last three years, a top finish at the last Masters, or a top-4 finish in any major last season. Approach is the most indicative of success at Augusta.