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Michigan basketball spread

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With a trip to Ohio State on Thursday and a home game against Maryland on Sunday to close out the regular season, Michigan State can still finish in the top four in the Big Ten and boost their hopes of a decent seed, relative to the direction they had been heading. Michigan, meanwhile, is just trying to land in the field of San Diego State, at Indiana, vs.

Purdue, at Iowa Bad Losses: vs. On Sunday, Michigan had an opportunity to help their resume against visiting Illinois. Instead, they surrendered a season-high 93 points as Illinois shot But if they do lose, it is difficult to picture them beating both Iowa home and Ohio State away. Well, they did put up 85 points against the Illini, which will win most games. Notably, big man Hunter Dickinson outrebounded Kofi Cockburn 11 to seven. Dickinson made only 4 of 13 shots from the field, but he posted his second straight double-double after recording only one of his previous 13 games.

Also, guard Devante Jones scored a season-high 25 points and tied his season high with 10 assists, while committing only three turnovers. And freshman forward Caleb Houstan scored 21 points for the second straight game, his first two point efforts of the season. Maryland, at Indiana, vs. On Feb. He averages a team-high Jackson-Davis is also fifth in the Big Ten in rebounds 8. The Indiana native uses his length to consistently alter and block shots.

He's logged at least three blocks in 12 games. In the regular-season matchup against Michigan, Jackson-Davis had 17 points, eight rebounds and two blocks. Redshirt senior forward Race Thompson adds more size in the frontcourt for Indiana. Thompson is putting up The Minnesota native has grabbed at least 10 rebounds in nine games.

Over his past 10 contests, Thompson has scored in double figures in eight of those matchups. In the Feb. How to make Indiana vs. Michigan picks SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations.

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Advice and prediction I may be a bit jaded by how poorly things have gone for Michigan State these past few weeks, but to me, this line seems way too low. I anticipated this game opening as a four-plus touchdown line since we know how the Spartans have struggled in pass coverage and the Buckeyes can exploit even the best secondaries.

So for me, the easy play in this game is taking Ohio State to cover the spread and cruise to a big victory. Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage.

See applicable operator site for its terms and conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. How much do Michigan State fans need to worry about the unthinkable? Table 1: Enhanced Big Ten standings as of Feb. The updated Big Ten win distribution matrix is shown below in Table 2. Table 2: Updated Big Ten expected wins and win distribution matrix as of Feb. Iowa has made a move up to fifth place, a fraction of a win ahead of Rutgers, with Michigan and Michigan State about a half game back of the Scarlet Knights.

Indiana is more than a game behind the Michiganders. While it likely feels to Michigan State fans that they will never win a game again, there is still a 60 percent chance that the Spartans finish at or better and a 21 percent chance that they win at least three of their final four games. Table 3 below gives the updated odds to at least share the Big Ten regular season title as of Feb.

Table 3: Updated odds to win or share the Big Ten title and the win distributions for those winning teams as of Feb. Consistent with Table 2, the race looks like it will come down to Purdue and Wisconsin who have a 65 and 57 percent chance to win the regular season title. Incidentally, those two teams will play each other in Madison on Tuesday, March 1. The winner of that game will likely clinch at least a share of the championship.

Note also that the math is still split on whether Purdue or Wisconsin will win out and claim the title at In general, there is a 62 percent chance that the eventual winner does not have to share the title, a 24 percent chance that two teams will share the title and a 14 percent chance that it is a three-team or more tie.

Big Ten Tournament and Strengths of Schedule If the season ended today, that would be weird, because there are still 22 Big Ten games left on the full schedule. Fortunately, we can use projected point spreads and simulations to get a sneak peek on how the Big Ten Tournament seeding might play out. Table 4 below summarizes the odds for each team to earn each seed.

Table 4: Big Ten Tournament seeding odds as of Feb 26, The numbers in parentheses are the changes since the previous update. As the end of the season approaches, the seeding for the Big Ten Tournament is starting to take shape. The top four seeds are fixed with about 90 percent certainty. In addition, seeds No. But seeds No. That said, any seed from No. In addition, I have extracted additional information from the simulation.

The shaded column in the center of Table 4 now shows the most likely opponents for the Spartans to face in the first round of the Big Ten tournament. Indiana 43 percent and Penn State 32 percent are the current most likely opponents.

Table 5 below gives the odds for each Big Ten team to advance in the Big Ten tournament. Figure 1 below provides an update on the Big Ten strength of schedule data. Figure 1: Updated Big Ten strengths of schedule both overall left and of the remaining conference games right as of Feb. The Hawkeyes will finish up the regular season at Michigan and at Illinois.