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A spread bet in football is normally offered at on both sides of the bet. This gives both outcomes a win probability of The implied probability of this spread bet winning would be Let's use the above bet of for both outcomes on a NFL spread bet. We know that both outcomes have an implied probability of If that same outcome has a true probability of This seems easy, but how do you find true odds?

Essentially, true odds are subjective. However, one person can calculate true probability by using predictive models. This is where handicapping comes into play. Example Game: Tennessee Titans vs. Bills game at even odds. By using our odds calculator, you can calculate the implied probability of either team winning. Since the same odds are offered for the Bills to win, the implied probability for the Bills to win are What can you do with this information?

If you are able to calculate true probability, you can use those odds to make an informed decision on who to bet on. It is important to note that if your true probability is higher than the implied probability that a sportsbook is giving you, then that is a valuable bet. This seems easy, but how do you find true odds? Essentially, true odds are subjective.

However, one person can calculate true probability by using predictive models. This is where handicapping comes into play. Example Game: Tennessee Titans vs. Bills game at even odds. By using our odds calculator, you can calculate the implied probability of either team winning. Since the same odds are offered for the Bills to win, the implied probability for the Bills to win are What can you do with this information?

If you are able to calculate true probability, you can use those odds to make an informed decision on who to bet on. It is important to note that if your true probability is higher than the implied probability that a sportsbook is giving you, then that is a valuable bet.

Creating an accurate predictive model can take years to perfect. This is not something that everyone can take advantage of, but if you are looking for a place to start you can check out the resources we have on our betting education page. Be sure to shop around at different books and get the best odds possible. The difference of and can save you a lot of money over the course of your sports betting career.

You can visit our sportsbook review hub and see which books offer the best odds. Frequently Asked Questions.

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