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Perhaps Scottie Scheffler, who has Masters-winning Ted Scott by his side, can overcome it, or else the behemoth Morikawa. But here at Augusta, it is probably wise to place extra emphasis on knowhow when separating those at the head of the betting, and of all the world-class players who have it, nobody is primed in quite the way that Thomas is.
As Thomas himself is all too aware, an ideal profile and a near-perfect preparation guarantees you nothing once play begins. But with Bones on the bag, and with six years' worth of lessons learned, this is a fine opportunity for him to put the pieces of the puzzle together.
These now should be his golden years at Augusta. Apprenticeship served, he can depart the one-time major winners' club and earn the sport's most coveted prize. Dangers are of course manifold. None of those youngsters is dismissed, not even Viktor Hovland and his chipping inadequacies. Cameron Smith to my eye looks a good 10 points shorter than he ought to be, but his chance is blindingly obvious: twice a winner this year, a habitual Masters contender, of a mind which suggests a major opportunity could well be taken, and with hands as magic as Spieth's once the longer shots have been hit.
But with Patrick Cantlay's preparation less than ideal, and Xander Schauffele having more demons to lay to rest, it's Morikawa and Brooks Koepka who demand the most respect, and the latter was very close to being selected. We know by now that Koepka's been a monster at the highest level since winning his first US Open in , a title he defended while also collecting back-to-back US PGA Championships during a sensational run. It's one I'd have gladly labelled unsustainable but while that has unsurprisingly proven to be the case, he's been mighty close: six top-sevens in eight majors since he last won one confirm that those opposing him have been made to sweat.
The last time Koepka arrived here fit, he finished a gallant runner-up to Woods, paying a heavy price for coming up short with his approach to the 12th hole but responding well to keep Tiger honest. That was the culmination of a progressive initiation period, finishing 33rd on debut, 21st in a really tough edition and 11th behind Garcia in Forced to miss the renewal through injury, he was then denied only by Woods' fifth Masters win.
Ahead of the renewal when he went on to finish seventh, the only player ahead of Thomas in strokes-gained tee-to-green here over the previous three years was Koepka, and we can put a line through last year's missed cut. Koepka said he "wouldn't have been playing for another month if it wasn't this week" as he grimaced his way through 36 holes before another five weeks off, a rehabilitation period which helped him get ready for what would be a frustrating second place behind another legend of the sport, this time Mickelson at Kiawah Island.
He's the one if you'd like two from the top of the betting but I'm very sweet on Thomas and am happy to take just one of that top dozen, each of whom has something to recommend him. For my money, Thomas is the one they all have to beat. Sam Burns is the pick of the debutants as he seeks to become the first to win here since Fuzzy Zoeller in Anyone watching PGA Tour golf regularly will know that his awkward technique from close range is really not pleasant to watch, although he has so far missed only 10 of attempts from inside five feet this season and the stats aren't quite as terrifying as the television can be, as he's not missed anything from three feet and in.
What they do tell us, though, is that you have to go back to early October for the last time he beat the field in strokes-gained putting. However, having trawled through Match Play shot data, it's clear he was very good in Texas, and not just from distance.
Zalatoris did miss a couple of short ones in defeat to Sepp Straka, but either side of it was excellent, particularly when taking down Hovland to win a tough group. In the end he would go on to lose to Kevin Kisner, who has won more matches at Austin than anybody, in a display of real substance.
None of this is to say his demons have been exorcised; likely he will suffer the odd blip. But the current PGA Tour leader in strokes-gained tee-to-green did putt well here last year and did putt well last time, and there is really only one other negative: the fact he is yet to win at this level. To make your breakthrough in a major would be extraordinary, but not unprecedented, and Zalatoris has another year of experience behind him since finishing second to Matsuyama.
He's felt what it's like to have a putt to win, too, missing from inside 10 feet at Torrey Pines. Ultimately I found myself thinking I'd be mad keen on him had he won there, so to dismiss him because Luke List made a few more than usual seems a little unreasonable. Long off the tee and a sensational iron player in the Morikawa and Thomas bracket, Zalatoris has an ideal game for Augusta. And while experience is important, Spieth won here a year after finishing runner-up on debut.
It's possible we're talking about another exceptional player with a similarly bright future, and thanks to the strength at the front of the market we're able to take a good each-way price. Lowry poised for major improvement In recent weeks I have massively warmed to the chances of SHANE LOWRY, despite a modest record here, and it seems I'm not alone as the Irishman has been supported since bookmakers revealed their enhanced place terms.
Well, supported or cut, which aren't always one and the same. Unless you play on the exchanges or back injured golfers, you're unlikely to get generous win prices. Shane Lowry can make an impression in a major once again Lowry's course form will worry some as he has had six tries at Augusta, just like Thomas, but only in April did he match the American's finish. Before that share of 21st he'd gone MCMC-MC, latterly enjoying the company of Woods during the November edition, and only when sitting second after round one in had he really been involved at the business end of the leaderboard.
But it's not always the case that winners here had marked our cards in previous years. Reed in particular is a fine example of what matters most in this sport — good golf in recent weeks and months. He had never been a factor at Augusta prior to winning, but what he had done was contend regularly in the tournaments leading up to the Masters, everything falling into place as he took down McIlroy and Spieth with the crowd against him.
Lowry, whose brilliant hands are a massive asset here, has six top finishes from six stroke play starts this year. He was awfully unfortunate not to win the Honda Classic when a downpour combined with Sepp Straka's career-best run confined him to second place, played really well in The PLAYERS, and was frustrated to finish 12th in the Valspar, where once more his long-game looked really good.
He's second only to Hovland in ball-striking and third in strokes-gained approach if we take the same view, while for the season he ranks 11th on the PGA Tour, in line with 19th last. Iron play has become a major strength of his game and it's probably never been better than it is today. His around-the-green stats might not look all that impressive but your eyes should tell you he is dynamite from tight lies around fearsome, contoured greens like these, and while his Augusta record might be considered a negative, there's light if you want to see it.
Just twice has he played here as a major champion, and he's produced his best two finishes. Moreover, after speaking of picking Tiger's brain in November , he returned last April to rank fifth in strokes-gained approach, his numbers almost identical to those of the winner. I love the way I played this week. Then I played lovely the last few holes and then played nicely yesterday, and you kind of start to build your hopes up again.
So who knows? Yes, he'd like to have won for the first time since the Open, but he really was unlucky in Florida, and besides, he's very comfortable as a self-styled big-event specialist, his career highlights including the Open, an Irish Open as an amateur, a WGC, and standing taller than most at the Ryder Cup.
Returning to a course which complements his two main strengths, approach play and chipping, Lowry looks rock solid and should be right in the thick of things if getting off to a decent start. Remember, while the field strength at Sawgrass was slightly higher, half of them were given very little chance simply because of their tee-times in what was a strange and unreliable form guide.
Joaquin Niemann and host Tiger Woods with the Genesis Invitational trophy At Riviera, Niemann took the lead late on Thursday evening, and after that they never saw him. Briefly, during Sunday's final round, Cameron Young looked like he might get on terms, but whenever he did, Niemann pulled out more. It was a brilliant display, and the maturation of this former world amateur number one.
It just so happens that Riviera has been an excellent Masters guide. Just why that is, who can really say, except that they're tree-lined, shot-maker golf courses where being in the rough isn't usually much of a problem. Instead, power is rewarded as those hitting approaches to small targets with shorter irons have more height and greater control.
SI Sportsbook has a complete list of odds for the Masters. His season started with six top 21 finishes, highlighted by a second, third, and tenth. Unfortunately, he came out flat in Augusta in 21st while looking off over the summer while dealing with the loss of his grandfather. In his six trips to the Masters, he made the cut each time while placing once in the top 10 4th in Over his past 20 rounds at Augusta, Thomas is 20 under par.
He has six top 10s over his previous nine tournaments. Over his previous six stroke-play events in which he made the cut, Johnson played well on Sunday 66, 67, 67, 73, 63, and 69 in five events. After two rounds in the Masters last season, Johnson bowed out after dominating the field in From and , he finished in the top 10 each year 6th, 10th, 4th, and 2nd while being forced to withdraw before the tournament due to a fall.
I get the sense that Johnson is the player to beat at the top end. Rahm looks poised to win his first green jacket, while Thomas could fire on any given weekend. Best values by odds Before last week, Matsuyama appeared to be a viable play at the Masters after winning in He broke par every round, with his best showing coming on day 2 Over his first two events in , Zalatoris placed 6th and 2nd with a combined score of His results have been flat over his last three stroke-play events 26th, 38th, and 26th.
Now, McClure has set his sights on the Masters and just revealed his top Masters prop bets. Thomas won the PGA Championship in , but he's looking to add to his major championship collection with a green jacket. Thomas' best finish at Augusta National is fourth place in The year-old will now enter the Masters full of confidence after finishing eighth or better in three of his last five starts on the PGA Tour.
The time PGA Tour champion also ranks second in scoring average Morikawa has been on a tear this season, securing a top finish in five of his seven official starts on the PGA Tour. He's one of the best ball-strikers on tour, which makes him a serious contender at Augusta National.
In fact, Morikawa enters the Masters ranked seventh in greens in regulation McIlroy also missed the cut at the Masters a year ago. Rahm continues to find himself in the mix at the Masters, securing four consecutive top finishes at Augusta National.
He recorded a top-five finish in and finished inside the top in his last six starts at a major championship. It's easy to see why McClure is including the Spaniard in his Masters one and done picks. Find more Masters picks, sleepers McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the Masters, including a long shot higher than to win it all.
Anyone who backs one of his Masters sleepers could hit it big. Masters of their domain? Health concerns It is not just Tiger that comes in with questions regarding health and fitness. He will come to Augusta making his first start as the new World No. Can he live up to new expectations? Since , a green jacket is awarded to the champion who must return it to the clubhouse one year after his victory, although it remains his personal property and is stored with other champions' jackets in a specially designated cloakroom.
The winner also receives a sterling replica of the Masters trophy and a gold medal to go along with the green jacket. Spectators are scheduled to return to the event, but in reduced numbers with social distancing requirements put in place.
Players will need to be in the Top 50, including ties, in order to make the cut. ANGC was designed in by Dr. Alister MacKenzie and Bobby Jones. It is a Par 72 of 7, yards that plays longer than its listed yardage. Augusta National usually plays to its standard firm and fast conditions.
ANGC is a classical, undulating meadowlands track. Water is in play on five holes. The fairways are Overseeded Perennial Ryegrass with Bermuda grass base. The rough isn't very thick 1. Meanwhile, the greens are Bentgrass that will be fast and slick and run from feet on the stimpmeter.
Shots not in the right spots can fall into tough, shaved run-offs. The lack of rough around the green complexes creates indecision both with approach shots and recovery chips. Longer hitters certainly benefit here, and players must take advantage of the Par 5s, but on-target approach shots are what put you in position to win here. There are 41 bunkers and six water hazards and a whole lotta pine straw scattered across the grounds.
The Bentgrass greens are around Tour average in size; the major difference are the wild undulations. These are some of the hilliest and fastest putting surfaces the players will encounter all year. Going back further, this trend used to be at least six trips to Augusta before winning. The point is that experience matters here.
Matsuyama in is the lone exception. This is where Mackay comes in to help him read the putts on these tricky greens and knowing which holes to play it safe and which holes are there to be attacked. Thomas has not been far from winning as of late with six finishes of eighth or better in his last nine events.
Over the last 24 rounds, Thomas is the No. He has also gained over three strokes on the greens in two of his last three starts. In his bid to win the career grand slam, McIlroy has tried nearly everything. He's played a lot. He's played very little. He's gone to Augusta National early. He's gone to Augusta National late. He's convinced himself that the Masters is the only tournament that exists.
Nothing has worked to this point. McIlroy has the whole package to win here at Augusta, but his irons have let him down here often in recent years. According to Justin Ray of Twenty First Group, McIlroy ranks 54th in strokes gained on approach shots of the 74 golfers who have at least 10 rounds at Augusta since he's second off the tee and 16th in putting.
McIlroy won twice in — Wells Fargo Championship and CJ Cup at the Summit — and it still felt like a down year because he is now being judged, fairly or unfairly, by his performance in major championships. The pressure of trying to become just the sixth man to complete the career grand slam has gotten to him in the past. However, the longer the pursuit goes, the less of a story it becomes.
It will be even less of a story should one of those five grand slam winners, Tiger Woods, decides to give it a go at Augusta this week. That could lead to Rory falling under the radar, which would probably be the best thing for him. Kannon: I believe Rory, like many other top players in the field, are benefitting from all the attention that is being paid to Tiger Woods. Rory missed the cut at Augusta last year but prior to that finished fifth, 21st, fifth, seventh, 10th, fourth and eighth.
Johnson has been out of sorts too often since winning at Augusta in November In fact, he missed the cut as defending champion last April. Still, his Masters form is too good to ignore. Prior to his missed cut and win, Johnson posted four consecutive top 10s, including second- and fourth-place finishes. His tee-to-green play should be about as good as it gets this week, so he can win if the flat stick gets hot.
Kannon: I was waiting for or better to show up, but I don't believe it will now after DJ shot a 63 in the final round at The Players Championship and advanced in the Match Play to the semifinals. His game is really starting to come around again after for being off the mark for the past year. Due to his play being less than sharp, Johnson dropped out of the Top 10 in the world rankings for the first time in quite a while and I believe this serves as motivation.
He really liked being the world No. In his Masters title defense in , Dustin Johnson missed the cut. Prior to this, he had finished first, second, 10th, fourth and sixth. I think he's going to be right there again this year, so I am fine settling for Brooks Koepka Kannon: Koepka only cares about the majors, right? I doubt that is completely true, but they certainly get his full attention -- he already has four major championships to his credit at just 31 years old.
The Masters has eluded him however, and in a couple of instances, it was due to injury. He skipped the tournament in with a wrist injury and could barely walk the course in with a knee injury and eventually missed the cut. Prior to last year's missed cut, Koepka finished seventh, second and 11th.
Like DJ, I think Kopeka will be right there again this year, and for me is fair.
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Best bets Justin Thomas (Caesars Sportsbook) Reynolds: Phil Mickelson may not be in the field this week, but his longtime caddie that was on the bag for all of his Masters victories is at . Mar 28, · 1. Justin Thomas (12/1) Reason to pick: He's got five consecutive top finishes at the Masters, and eight tops in his past 12 starts overall. Cause for concern: He also . AdBrowse & Discover Thousands of Sports Book Titles, for Less.