Tips for betting nfl spread

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If the point spread is calculated correctly and levels the playing field between the two teams, the money bet on the game should balance out on either side. Suppose the Ravens win the game by more than seven points. Oddsmakers will also move the football betting spreads to balance the handle, such as moving a -3 favorite to Note: whatever spread or odds you place your bet at will be how the wager is graded, regardless of how far those football betting lines are adjusted before game time.

Key numbers Football scoring happens in factors of three field goals , six touchdown , or seven extra point after touchdown. Those margins usually decide the majority of football games. Because of this, the bulk of NFL betting spreads are set on and around these key numbers : 2. Depending on which side you like, the favorite or underdog, getting the best of the number is vital to successful football spread betting — especially around key numbers.

Reading and tracking the adjustments to the juice can give you an idea of which spreads could potentially move before kickoff. If a favorite of -7 starts to climb to -7 or -7 , you can assume a spread adjustment to If you want to bet the favorite, you may want to do it right away at -7 and avoid laying Injury impact Not all NFL injuries are created equal, and only a handful will impact a football spread.

In this case, it may be a good move to go with the underdog. Always take a look at recent trends in relation to the point spread. Moneylines First, determine your projected winner of the game when looking at NFL moneyline odds. You can opt to parlay such a heavy favorite with another team as a way of lowering your risk. There are upsets virtually every week of the NFL season, so this can be a great way to find value.

This could be a great way to find a team that is undervalued by the market. For example, early in the season, the Bengals were not properly valued by oddsmakers. This gave bettors a terrific opportunity to capitalize on an undervalued team by taking them to win outright earlier in the year. The key is to identify a team that may be better than public perception. Totals Deciding whether you want to bet Over or Under the number is based on a few factors.

You first want to check in to see the pace of each team. Offenses that move quickly can run off more plays, which leads to more scoring opportunities. Those that slow the game down lean well to the Under. If you notice that the projected total does not align with how each offense plays, this is a great way to find an edge.

For example, the Ravens and Browns may have had a For example, you may see that a game between the Jets and Texans has a While both offenses were atrocious last year, turnovers could lead to good field position and kill your Under. Parlays Parlays can be appealing because of the potential payouts, but be sure to limit your risk with this bet type because of its low probability. You can devote a small percentage of your typical bet size to a longshot parlay if you want to try to hit a home run.

I would also suggest going with safer parlays that include a few heavy favorites as a way to cover any potential losses from lower probability wagers. Remember, touchdowns mostly result in seven points and field goals are three points. This means that we generally have a few common final scores. This is great for a seven-point teaser because I bring them down to -1, which means they no longer need to win by two scores.

Conversely, if I teased the Chiefs down from Props The best way to target props betting is by focusing on player-based outcomes. You also want to pay attention to the projected game script. This is especially useful for running backs. For example, if the Titans are 7. Instead, you want to focus on a pick with a potentially high payout. Try to look for undervalued players who have a much better implied probability than what their moneyline suggests.

For example, if you took the Bengals to win the Super Bowl last year, you would have gotten terrific value, perhaps as high as to You could have bet on the Rams on the moneyline to guarantee a profit regardless of the final result. This will give you hedging opportunities down the road. They are consistently updated to adjust for any movement in the market.