Forex trading plan checklist pdf free

One needs to have a proper checklist before entering any trade as it helps traders stay disciplined, stick to the trading plan, and build confidence. One should remember that a good start is half the battle won! Thus maintaining a trading checklist can help the traders with a list of questions that they need to answer before executing any trades.

But wait! The trading plan refers to a bigger picture, such as deciding the market you want to trade and the analytical approach you choose to follow. The checklist, on the other hand, focuses on each trade and also the conditions which should be met before the trade order is executed. So today in this blog we will be discussing 8 steps for making a Stock Trading Checklist that you should check before executing any orders: 1. If the market is in a trading range or trending?

Experienced traders should know that when a stock is in a strong trend and trading in the direction of the trend can lead to a higher probability of right trades. There is a well-known saying that the trend is your best friend. As we can see from the below chart, when we trade along the ongoing trend we can earn profits: Traders need to ask themselves if the prices of the stock are in a strong trend and whether they want to trade along with the trend as a part of their trading plan.

Whereas a stock is in a range bound when the prices of that stock bounce between support and resistance and trade within a channel as shown below: Certain stocks tend to trade in ranges. Is there support or resistance levels nearby?

One also needs to check whether there is any support or resistance level nearby before executing any trading order for that particular stock. Usually, the price action tends to respect particular price levels for many reasons and one must be able to identify these levels. Traders do not want to enter a long position in which there is a key level of resistance nearby only to bounce back lower.

The same applies when the price reaches a key level of support and typically bounces after. Trend traders should look for breakouts of these levels as it indicates that the market may start to trend.

However, Range traders will look for prices to bounce between support and resistance for prolonged periods. Is the price action confirmed by indicators? Traders should note that the indicators help the traders in confirming high probability trades.

Depending on their trading plan as well as their strategy, traders should have indicators that complement their trading strategy. One should not make their analysis complicated by adding multiple indicators to a single chart. They should keep their analysis clean and simple and easy to view at a glance. Also, one should not use indicators of the same group. For example, it is always better to use volatility indicators like Bollinger bands with momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Indicator.

One should check whether these technical indicators confirm the trading signal before executing any trader order. How do you determine what time frame to trade? How do you determine what time of the day to trade? Are there hours of the day that you should stay out of the market? Market Bias How do you determine the market bias?

How do you know that the market is trending? How do you know that the market is trapped in a range? Market Structure How are you marking support and resistance? How do you interpret support and resistance that have been broken? How are you prioritizing different support and resistance zones? Are you confused by them?

How do you identify price momentum? How are you going to make sense of volume? Entry Strategy How do you identify a setup? Why are you using these price patterns? When do you need confirmation for a setup? What type of order are you using to enter the market?

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Otherwise referred to as a forex broker, there are literally hundreds of trading platforms active in the online space. This makes it extremely difficult to know which broker to sign up with. In the below sections of our forex trading PDF, we explain some of the considerations that you need to make. Analysis Tools and Features You should also look out for analysis tools available to you.

In some cases, this might be embedded, while some offer tools such as technical analysis and fundamental analysis. This is because it will save you a lot of leg work having to move between different sites and sources of information. Crucially, both MT4 and MT5 are fast and receptive trading platforms, both providing live market data and access to sophisticated charts. Confidence in Your Forex Broker It is essential before you begin trading seriously that you fully trust the trading platform you intend on using.

This is especially the case if you intend on using a scalping strategy, for example. However, if you like to trade, it is vital for your peace of mind and your finances that you are fully confident with the fast execution of data transfer. This is also the case with the precision of quoted prices, and the speed of order processing. All of these things are going to help you to have a successful forex trading experience.

To enable you to make the most of new opportunities, the ideal forex broker will be available to you 24 hours a day and 7 days a week, in line with the forex market opening hours. Independent Account Manager To save you from having to request that your broker takes action for you, your forex broker should enable you to manage your account and your trades separately.

By doing this, you will be in a much better position to quickly react to any shifts in the market, and hopefully, make the most of potential opportunities. This will enable you to gain better control over any open positions as and when they arise. Safety and Security It is important to ensure that your forex broker of choice is a reputable company, who will ensure that your personal information and trading funds are fully protected and backed up.

Segregation is frequently used amongst forex brokers as a way to separate your funds from the funds of the company i. So, no matter what happens to the forex broker, your money is safe and segregated. If you find that a forex broker is unable to do this, we would suggest you find a better broker as it is standard practice these days.

All of the brokers listed towards the end of this forex trading PDF are regulated by at least one reputable licensing body. Forex Trading — Getting Started In terms of getting set up as an online forex trader, the steps remain constant regardless of which broker you decide to join. Below we list some of the steps that you will need to take. Step 1: Open an Account In order to open an account, you will need to enter some personal information.

Standard details requested by the broker will be things like your name, residential address, and contact details. Some brokers will also require your tax status and will ask you to provide more financial details such as employment status, net worth and any regular income. In this instance, you will usually need to answer some multiple-choice questions based on your experience. This is usually a fairly simple process. Some brokers will verify this using scanned copies of documentation.

Step 4: Depositing Funds Now you need to select your payment method of choice usually from a drop-down list. Bear in mind that how long this takes to go into your trading account will largely depend on the payment method — so always check this before parting with your cash. Some brokers even support e-wallets like PayPal and Skrill.

Step 5: Begin Trading After reading our forex trading PDF you should now be feeling confident enough to begin trading. However, we do recommend that you always try out a free forex trading demo first. This will allow you to test out your newly formed trading strategies before risking your own capital.

Forex Trading Strategies In the next section of our forex trading PDF, we explore some of the more important technical indicators and market insights used by seasoned traders. Donchian Channels First invented by Richard Donchian, the donchian channels can be adapted as you like, in terms of parameters. Should you choose to view a day breakdown, for example, the indicator will be created by taking the lowest low, and the highest high of that period so in this example 30 periods.

When observing the moving average on a donchian channel you can look at averages stretching from 25 days to the last days. The direction which is permitted is determined by the direction of the short-term moving average. With this in mind, you should think about opening one of the following two positions: Long — If the last day moving average is lower than the day moving average. Short — If the last day moving average is greater than the day moving average.

You will need to sell your pair in order to exit your trade if you open a long position and visa-versa. Simple Moving Average This is another commonly used forex indicator. The simple moving average aka SMA operates at a slower rate than the present market price known as a lagging indicator. Furthermore, it uses a lot of historical price data.

In fact, more so than most other strategies. A good indication that the latest price is higher than the older price is when the long-term moving average is below the short-term moving average. This could be considered a buy signal due to an upward trend in the market. In the opposite scenario when the long-term moving average is higher than the short-term moving average, this of course points towards a sell signal due to a downward trend. Moving averages are usually used as evidence of an overall trend, rather than purely forex trading signals.

Of course, this is a great way to make your breakout signals much more productive. If you are alerted to a sell signal, this indicates that the short-term moving average is below that of the long-term moving average, so you might want to place a sell order.

However, if you are given a signal to buy, this usually means that the short-term moving average is higher than that of the long-term moving average. Breakout Using breaks as trading signals, the breakout is considered a long-term strategy. The breakout itself occurs when the market goes further than these consolidation limits — whether that be lower or higher.

As such, a breakout must take place whenever a new trend occurs. By looking at breaks, you will have a good indication of whether or not a new trend has begun. In this case, you might want to use a stop-loss order to give you a better chance of avoiding a substantial loss.

Forex Trading: Possible Risks As glamorous as a career in forex trading might sound, there are a number of risks that you need to take into account. In the below sections of our forex trading PDF, we explore these possible risks in more detail. Transactions The transaction risk is in relation to the exchange rate and any time zone differences. This means there is a chance that at some point between the beginning and end of a contract that the exchange rates could be subject to change.

The risk of this happening elevates with the more time that passes between entering a contract and settling the same contract. This generally leads to investors withdrawing investments, and as a result, your return will be lower. The good news is that when a currency rate is on the rise, chances are that the respective currency will be stronger. When this does happen, your returns could be higher. This is because seasoned investors like to gain exposure to stronger currencies.

Leverage Risk The higher your leverage is, the higher your losses or benefits will be. Of course, this means leverage can affect your trading in a positive or negative way — depending on which way it goes. Best Forex Trading Brokers of The final part of our forex trading PDF is to explore which brokers are popular with both newbie and seasoned traders.

Each of the forex trading platforms listed below has been pre-vetted, meaning that you can be confident they tick most boxed. This means that each platform is regulated, offers heaps of forex pairs, has low commissions and fees, and supports several payment methods.

On top of stocks, indices, commodities, and cryptocurrencies all via CFDs , you can also trade heaps of forex pairs. There are no trading commissions to pay, and spreads are very competitive. You can either trade via the AvaTrade web-platform, or via popular third-party provider MT4. The platform is heavily regulated, with several licenses under its belt. All in the form of CFDs - this covers stocks, indices and commodities.

You will not pay a single penny in commission, and spreads are super-tight. Leverage facilities are also on offer - fully in-line with ESMA limits. Once again, this stands at on majors and on minors and exotics. If you are based outside of Europe or you are deemed to be a professional client, you will get even higher limits. Getting money into Capital. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To Conclude Having made it this far through our forex trading PDF, you should by now have an understanding of how technical analysis works, and have a good grasp of the macroeconomic fundamentals which guide currency values.

Armed with all of the useful information included in this guide, you should be ready to get out there and start trading forex. Hopefully, making a profit and learning more along the way. If you are a trader with somewhat limited funds, you might find that swing trading suits you best.

If you have a larger trading fund available to you, you might have a more profitable experience with fundamental based trading. Either way, we do recommend trying out a free demo account where possible before trading with your hard-earned money. As well as reading helpful guides like ours, actually learning by doing will also provide you with a better sense of how it all works and how you might like to trade yourself.

Forex as a term refers to 'foreign exchange'. How do you make money in forex? You will make money in two different scenarios. You either buy a currency pair for less than you sell it for long order , and you sell a currency pair for less than you bought it for short order.

What is the spread in forex? The spread is the difference between the bid and ask price of a forex pair. This gap in pricing must be included in your profit and loss forecasts, and it is how the broker ensures that the platform always makes money. What is a good spread in forex trading? This depends on the type of forex pair you are trading. What is the pip in forex?

The pip refers to the movement of one decimal place in a pair. The question you must ask yourself is this: if you would not dream of driving from the north of Scotland to the most southerly tip of England without a detailed roadmap, why on earth have you not got a detailed and clearly laid out trading plan? It will limit your opportunity to make bad trades and it will prevent many psychological issues from taking root. It will help you to achieve these things because wherever you are on your trading journey, it will not only act as a roadmap, but also locate your position as well.

Most importantly, if your trading is going badly, you will know it is down to one of only two possibilities: either something in the plan is not working or you are not adhering to the plan. If the plan is a good one and it is back tested and paper traded, or forward tested with a very small amount of money then the fault is likely to be found in the latter of the two options. But, what if you are losing money whilst trading without a plan? It is virtually impossible to distinguish what you are doing right from what you are doing wrong.

You have no way to evaluate your results, therefore the likelihood of being able to diagnose the fault and correct it is small and could take forever. A trading plan is your personal GPS device to locate your position and, if you have made a wrong turn, it provides the means to identify where you went wrong and how to get back on track. You are able to evaluate continually your results and, more importantly - your discipline - in a manner that is objective and comprehensive.

This is extremely difficult to do if you do not have a plan. Emotional issues will become very powerful when real money is on the line and, as likely as not, force you into making irrational decisions. A plan will instil a large measure of discipline into your trading. How many times have you let a loss run and cut a profit short because it was the comfortable thing to do? The template is broken down into eleven units. The objective of the exercise is to end up with a plan that is tailor made to suit your personality, ability and resources.

Do not be tempted to skip any sections and be sure to work through them in the order that they appear. The order is specific for reasons that should become clear in due course. Think of the eleven units as links in a chain or as individual players in a football team; each one is as important as the other.

Although the template is designed to be as simple as possible, be sure to give careful consideration to all your answers. For example, the first unit poses the question, why do you want to be a trader? It is not personal to you and, therefore, it is not helpful to your plan. You might enjoy a cappuccino from time to time, but chances are that you would not dream of taking up a Starbucks franchise - so why become a trader? If so, you may have a need for excitement.

Ordinarily, such a desire is an admirable one but, in the markets, it could easily lead to catastrophe if allowed to go unchecked. Perhaps you have heard stories about traders making tens of thousands in a single day? Crushing disappointment is often the reward for unbridled greed. Pie in the sky fantasies about trading via a laptop while aboard a luxury yacht, sipping champagne in the Bahamas, are great fun, but they are hardly grounded in reality.

Such fantasies may help to motivate you to study the markets, but the emotions that accompany them may not help you when it comes to trading the markets. Just as the trader with a lust for excitement is doomed to fail, the fate of a trader motivated by greed is almost certain to lead to disaster. Think very carefully about these questions and be brutally honest with yourself. Do not pretend to be someone you are not because you are embarrassed to commit pen to paper and admit that you are a thrill seeker chasing the Holy Grail of easy money.

In answering the question about why you want to be a trader, you will uncover the real motivations, fears and desires that fuel your ambition. Some of these will be helpful whilst trading, others not. How you allow them to impact your trading is what this document is, to a large extent, all about.

To ensure that the impact is a profitable one, you must start by examining your real reasons for trading and, hopefully, learn more about yourself in the process. Then there is a basis for an answer in small Arial italic type, like this to provide further clarification. The latter is intended as a guide only and is not meant to constrain your thoughts and ideas in any way. There is no room for ambiguity in your plan; so avoid vague, fuzzy statements. Also, where possible, always define and qualify your statements.

This usually means posing the questions - what, when, where, why or how. For example, suppose you swing trade the Dow Jones 30 Index. Because you want to trade in the evenings, after work? Okay, fair play. How will you ensure your success? Aha, you will start by writing a trading plan? When will you write it?

You get the general idea. Now, let us begin. Know Yourself, Know Your Purpose 5. Many inexperienced traders are unprepared for the violent assault on their thoughts and emotions at the start of their careers.

They soon find their heads spinning with euphoria when winning greed and the pits of their stomachs knotted with anxiety when losing fear. Contrast this with many professional traders who, it is said, achieve a sort of trading nirvana, whereby their thoughts and emotions blend into a sea of calm regardless of whether they are winning or losing.

Their heads do not spin and their stomachs do not churn — ever. For you to achieve this exalted state, you will need to know yourself and how you will react to both winning and losing positions. Once armed with this information, your trading plan can incorporate some of the positive aspects of your psychological make-up and filter out some of its negative aspects.

What is your purpose - what does success as a trader mean to you? Decide what it is that you want to achieve and then ask why and how trading is going to provide it. How sad it would be if, after a year or more and hundreds if not thousands of pounds later, you realised that trading was not for you after all and that the ladder to success was leaning up against the wrong wall.

Okay, here goes — your very own trading plan starts now. Question your true motivations. Examine whether your talents would be better suited to another business like the Starbucks franchise mentioned earlier. Are you certain that trading is the right business for you? If you believe that the markets exist for the sole purpose of showering you in vast quantities of easy money — then think again!

Beware: it is NOT the easy option! I want to be a trader because. My primary objective in wanting to be a trader is to. My secondary objective is to. These objectives are important to me because. I believe I can achieve my objectives because.

Are you a discretionary trader or a mechanical one? Do you propose to trade in the long-term i. The choice of position trader, swing trader or day trader will, to a large extent, be determined by the amount of time you are able to devote to your business. Generally speaking, day traders remain glued to their monitors throughout the duration of every trade, whilst position traders may devote as little as one hour a week to the markets.

Define your trading style and examine your beliefs about the markets. I am a discretionary trader and my style is very. I understand that I cannot predict the future and I accept that I cannot control the markets. However I can control myself, which I will do by.

List each of your trading strengths and weaknesses and then specify how you will maximise the benefit of the former and minimize the damage caused by the latter. This is often easier to do for other people than it is to do for yourself. Your background may provide some clues. Suppose you are an ex-fighter pilot who is used to working in a highly disciplined environment and adhering to a set of very strict procedures.

Potential strength. However, the flip side of the coin is that you may also have a need for fun, or an addiction to adrenalin pumping, nail biting excitement or, even, a subconscious desire to experience fear. Potential weakness.

If you are struggling to answer this question, try paper trading for a while and examine each trade, noting what you did right and what you did wrong. Do this until a pattern starts to emerge which should reveal your strengths and weaknesses to you. My primary strength is. My secondary strength is. My primary weakness is. The following aspect of my trading plan will help to control this weakness and prevent losses from spiralling out of control.

I have a pre-defined daily stop. If it is hit, I stop trading for the day. My secondary weakness is. Your mindset is the key obstacle that lies between you and success in the markets. Have you slept well; are you fit, healthy and mentally alert? Are you calm and relaxed or are you tired and distracted by other events in your life? I am rested, relaxed and not distracted by work or family etc.

I will be guided by my trading plan and I will adhere to it rigidly. It will help to prevent me from making trades that are poorly conceived and executed; i. I will not trade on days when. I am feeling off colour, hung over, particularly tired or when I am mentally distracted by other events in my life. There are numerous reasons for becoming a trader; making money is the one reason that unites us all. Your targets are not idle fantasies, they must be based upon your back and forward testing results.

This is expanded upon in sections My financial targets are. Trading Goals 6. Try to define your goals in terms of your development as a trader, as opposed to purely financial goals. If you focus on becoming a proficient trader, the financial rewards are sure to follow just as night follows day.

Then decide how you will achieve these goals and how you will reward yourself once you do. The rewards should reflect the scale of the achievement as well as being specific and meaningful to you. For example, the reward of a night out should name both the venue and the people you intend to take with you. This is the big picture. Think in terms of the skills and knowledge that you want to acquire between now and this time next year.

My annual trading goal is to. At the moment, this comprises three separate elements, namely: 1. I model the best trading practices, including having a written, clearly laid out trading plan. My strategies are well developed, tested and monitored comprehensively to ensure that they remain tradable, market sensitive and profitable.

I expect to achieve these goals because. When I achieve my goal, my reward will be. Now define your monthly trading goals. Again, avoid financial targets as much as possible. How will you achieve these goals and how will you reward yourself when you do?

My monthly trading goal is to. When I achieve this, my rewards will be. Time to get out the magnifying glass and zoom in on the details. Now define your weekly trading goals. How will you achieve them and how will you reward yourself when you do? My weekly trading goal is to. This will entail taking my stops instantly; sticking to my risk and money management strategies; following my exit criteria and devoting most of my time to searching for new trades and choosing only the very best setups.

When I achieve this goal I will pat myself on the back by. Finally, put away the magnifying glass and get out the microscope. On a day-to-day basis, what are you trying to achieve? How will you measure your progress and how will your hard work be rewarded?

My daily trading goal is to. Today I will stick to my plan because it is detailed, specific, tested and profitable. I am confident that I have the self discipline to adhere to it which, in turn, will ensure that my weekly, monthly and annual goals are met. Assuming that I stick to my plan, I will pat myself on the back by. Nothing blended - single malt, obviously! Decide upon the market you wish to trade; the instrument s that are available within that market and the reasons for your choice.

As a general rule of thumb, professional traders tend to restrict their focus to a limited number of markets and instruments. By contrast, novice traders tend to trade index futures one day, currency pairs the next and exotic sounding commodities like pork bellies the day after that, etc! They also provide excellent liquidity, volatility, tight spreads, fast fills, low commissions and no stamp duty. Will you confine yourself to a basket of stocks or will you trade anything and everything on the XYZ exchange?

If you trade futures, how many different markets will you trade, and why? If you are a forex trader, how many currency pairs will you trade, and why? Hopefully, you have decided what sort of trader you are or want to become, i. Now you need to focus in on your timeframes within the category of your choice. Be very clear in your own mind about the number of timeframes you use and why you use them.

For example, a day trader may use a 1 minute timeframe to enter a trade, a 5 minute timeframe to exit a trade and a 15 minute timeframe to help determine the trend throughout the duration of the trade. As a swing trader, I will use. Tools of the Trade 8. This applies to Spread Betting especially. Without question, it is a very popular financial product that is ideal for novice traders, but it does have its drawbacks. For example, it is almost impossible to day trade profitably using this trading vehicle.

My choice of financial vehicle is. However, I understand the limitations of this product and that it is best suited to swing trading. Both players would perform well with any old kit, but choosing these primary tools with great care helps them to achieve consistent sporting excellence. The instruments that you wish to trade. If, for example, you wish to trade U. The vehicle or financial product you use to trade the instruments of your choice. Spread betting, C. The size of your account. If you have only limited capital with which to fund your trading, you are not going to be able to open a Patten Day trader P.

Furthermore, the choice of brokers offering C. Ds is likely to be limited. Spread Betting may be your only viable option and is where many new traders start. The platform you use to trade. This is usually the one supplied by the broker. It must offer the features that you require and you must be comfortable using it. The level of support and customer service offered by the broker. Check out the reviews on T2W to see how the broker you propose to use fairs. Your level of experience.

Choose instrument s and a broker that you can cut your teeth on and minimise the risk of losing your shirt! My choice of broker is. If your trading decisions are based upon technical analysis T. My choice of data feed is. It is essential to undergo a daily pre-market routine to ensure that you are prepared fully for the trading day ahead. My daily pre-market routine comprises five key areas, namely.

To review any open positions and update targets and stops. To plan the day ahead, hour by hour. To make an initial selection of possible instruments to trade. Did you adhere to your plan and, if not, what effect does this have on your trading activity today?

In other words, your ability or otherwise to stick to your trading plan yesterday, should determine your trading activity today. Additionally, I will check to ensure that I adhered to all aspects of my trading plan. In the event that I fail to adhere to my trading plan. However, if you are a swing or position trader, you may well have some open positions. If I have positions open in the market.

I will update targets and stop losses and confirm that the reasons for entering the trade in the first place are still valid. Are there any major news stories impacting the markets? What are the index futures doing? Are there any key economic reports due out and at what time etc.? Before trading, I will check. Michigan Sentiment. I aim to trade the market reaction to these reports and speeches. Therefore, I will not trade for. If you do not plan each day hour by hour, chances are that you will just drift.

Be sure to factor in regular breaks from your computer with specific times for eating to discourage snacking! Before So on and so forth throughout the rest of the day. Scan your universe of instruments and split the results according to the strategies that you employ.

I will scan my universe of instruments in order to. I will update the charts for all the instruments on my watch list showing. Failure to apply sound risk and money management principles will, almost certainly, be financially ruinous. First of all, let us define the difference between risk and money management.

Risk management focuses on the steps necessary to minimise losses by assessing market conditions, risk-reward, probability and the use of stop loss orders etc. Money management, on the other hand, focuses on the steps necessary to maximise profits by the use of trailing stops and adjusting position size etc. This may seem an odd question, but it is a good starting point to ensure that your feelings about risk are compatible with your trading style. David S. Market risk is measured by the amount of time you are in the market.

It could be seconds, minutes, hours, days or weeks. The longer you are in the market the greater the chance something will go wrong. Many traders will totally disagree with this and feel much happier and sleep better at night by holding medium to long-term positions. For them, trading momentum plays in volatile Nasdaq stocks intraday carries far too much risk.

My attitude can be summed up as being. I will achieve this via diversification and adhering strictly to the risk management regime contained in this section of my trading plan. Now decide the maximum amount of capital that you will put at risk at any one time. Be prepared for the worst. Nasty, but not disastrous. My maximum exposure in the market will. No fat cat bonus for the city trader and, ultimately, no job. One way to control sector risk is to limit the number of positions in any one sector.

My maximum exposure in any one sector will. Suppose your broker goes down and you have no way of closing your positions. How will you handle this scenario? Similarly, what will you do if you need to take action when not if! My main broker is. In extreme circumstances when my main broker is down, I have the option of hedging my positions with my other broker. In the event that my PC crashes.

I have a back up PC with a dial up modem connection and all my data is backed up daily onto CD. Additionally, I always have my mobile on and fully charged while trading, with numbers of the key departments of both brokers stored in the memory. Namely, your once brilliant and hugely profitable trading strategy no longer works!

Multiply this by a factor of 1. I will monitor the drawdown on all my trading strategies. In the event that this figure. When it comes to assessing the specific risk associated with a proposed trade, most traders focus only on the risk-reward ratio. Unfortunately, this is somewhat meaningless unless probability is factored into the equation.

Here is the reason why: suppose one determines the risk-reward ratio to be — a gain of 80 points while only risking In isolation, this looks excellent. To assess the probability of success of a trading strategy we must start by defining the trade setup. This needs to be extremely precise, unambiguous and crystal clear.

This is vital in order to spot the setup in real time, trading with real money. Once the setup is defined, it can then be back and forward tested to see if the probability of its success outweighs the probability of its failure. To complicate matters, there are numerous variables that will, between them, influence the outcome.

Try to isolate these variables at the back testing stage by studying historical charts to see what they have in common. For example, the setup may have a higher probability of success if it appears just above a round number for a long position than it does if it appears just beneath it. Try to keep it simple.

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